BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Austin Peay

Class: 1 Class Rank: 171 Conference: ASUN Record: (12-6) Overall: (17-11) Overall Strength =   37.65

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    37.23  81  35   ZZ 124 (  0-  1) Cumberland TN          -0.00 *   46.00                      
  2 11-12-2022 Away    W    45.01  58  53    1 174 ( 20- 12) Chattanooga             7.78     -2.78                      
  3 11-17-2022 Away    L    40.07  61  70    1  96 ( 12- 19) Vanderbilt              2.85    -11.85                      
  4 11-21-2022 Neutral L    18.31  41  62    1 151 ( 14- 16) Davidson              -18.92     -2.08                      
  5 11-22-2022 Neutral W    46.73  53  46    1 145 ( 22-  6) F Dickinson             9.50     -2.50                      
  6 11-23-2022 Neutral L    33.61  59  62    1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago             -3.61      0.61                      
  7 12-01-2022 Home    L    32.12  58  62    1 159 ( 29-  4) Gardner Webb           -5.10      1.10                      
  8 12-08-2022 Away    L    26.23  31  74    1  12 ( 25-  6) Duke                  -11.00 *  -32.00                      
  9 12-13-2022 Away    W    46.77  71  67    1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St               9.55     -5.55                      
 10 12-21-2022 Home    W    28.59  64  51    1 349 ( 12- 19) UNC Asheville          -8.64     21.64                      
 11 01-02-2023 Away    W *  39.44  62  43    1 350 (  8- 21) Queens NC               2.21     16.79                      
 12 01-05-2023 Away    L *  26.53  57  66    1 237 ( 15- 16) Kennesaw              -10.69      1.69                      
 13 01-07-2023 Home    W *  31.35  50  46    1 259 ( 13- 20) Stetson                -5.87      9.87                      
 14 01-12-2023 Home    W *  36.44  47  43    1 222 ( 16- 14) Jacksonville St        -0.78      4.78                      
 15 01-14-2023 Home    W *  36.41  65  59    1 237 ( 15- 16) Kennesaw               -0.81      6.81                      
 16 01-19-2023 Away    W *  35.87  64  53    1 319 (  8- 18) Central Arkansas       -1.36     12.36                      
 17 01-21-2023 Away    W *  45.72  61  52    1 215 ( 15- 15) North Alabama           8.50      0.50                      
 18 01-26-2023 Home    L *  34.72  66  71    1 121 ( 23-  7) Liberty                -2.50     -2.50                      
 19 01-28-2023 Home    W *  29.32  70  56    1 350 (  8- 21) Queens NC              -7.91     21.91                      
 20 02-02-2023 Away    W *  49.26  72  52    1 282 (  9- 22) Bellarmine             12.04      7.96                      
 21 02-04-2023 Away    W *  50.65  82  69    1 211 ( 18- 14) Eastern Kentucky       13.42     -0.42                      
 22 02-09-2023 Home    W *  59.77  77  35    1 331 (  7- 20) North Florida          22.55     19.45                      
 23 02-11-2023 Home    L *  26.84  52  55    1 258 ( 11- 17) Jacksonville          -10.39      7.39                      
 24 02-16-2023 Away    L *  27.47  48  53    1 259 ( 13- 20) Stetson                -9.75      4.75                      
 25 02-18-2023 Away    L *  46.16  42  55    1  51 ( 30-  3) Florida Gulf Coast      8.94    -21.94                      
 26 02-23-2023 Away    W *  43.13  76  71    1 195 ( 20- 11) Lipscomb                5.91     -0.91                      
 27 02-25-2023 Home    L *  18.01  50  65    1 195 ( 20- 11) Lipscomb              -19.21      4.21                      
 28 03-05-2023 Home    W *  50.53  73  55    1 211 ( 18- 14) Eastern Kentucky       13.30      4.70                      
      Averages              37.23  60.4 56.5

Best game:   59.77 = 42 point win over North Florida
Worst game:  18.01 = 15 point loss to Lipscomb
Team stdev:  10.25